Who Will Win The 2024 Presidential Election in The United States

REPUBLICAN AND DEMOCRAT 2024 ODDS

BetMGM Canada also allows bettors to wager on the winning party for 2024.

• Democrats -110
• Republicans -105
• Independent +2500

PRESENT POLITICAL SCENE

According to Gallup data, Biden’s approval rating for his fifth quarter in office was a dismal 41.3%. Given the exorbitant petrol costs and the hostilities with Russia, Biden is now far from being the most well-liked Commander in Chief ever.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, whose odds were the same as those of Biden on April 28 of this year, has recently risen on 2024 US President odds boards. Given potential legal repercussions and upcoming court dates, the FBI raid on the former president Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence in August raised questions about whether Trump will run in 2024.

This is mainly due to the fact that it has always been quite challenging to remove an incumbent president. It hadn’t occurred for nearly 30 years before to 2020. The complete list of one-term presidents, along with their terms in office, is provided below:

• Donald Trump, 2017-2021
• George H.W. Bush, 1989-1993
• Jimmy Carter, 1977-1981
• Gerald Ford, 1974-77
• Herbert Hoover, 1929-33
• William Howard Taft, 1909-13
• Benjamin Harrison, 1889-93
• Martin Van Buren, 1837-41
• John Quincy Adams, 1825-29
• John Adams, 1797-1801

WILL TRUMP RUN IN 2024?

Trump continues to be one of the favourites. Given the present political situation, there are a lot of long shots on the table this time. In 2016, the US chose Donald Trump as president despite his lack of political background. Nowadays, it seems like being a famous person with a significant fan base is sufficient. Because of this, the board has included Dwayne Johnson, Tucker Carlson, and Dave Portnoy’s names for months.

The Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, which normally take place in February, are the first decisive events in an election year. The outcomes of these events can have a significant impact on the chances, even if the victors of these party-specific races aren’t always locks for their party’s nominations.

Betting enthusiasts in the UK and elsewhere in Europe ought to have a solid notion of who is in the running for the nominations of both parties by the time Iowans and New Hampshire residents meet to make their decisions. Despite all the historical examples of renominating an incumbent, the Democrats’ success in 2024 won’t be guaranteed.

CAN DONALD TRUMP RUN AGAIN IN 2024?

Yes, Donald Trump can run for re-election in 2024. Only Grover Cleveland has held the office of president of the United States twice, once from 1885 to 1889 and again from 1893 to 1897. Despite the fact that Trump recently received the second-highest number of votes for a presidential candidate in US history, there is one significant reason why he may face an uphill battle to win the Republican Party’s third nomination.

Trump will age 78 years old in June 2024. He would thus be approaching 83 when his hypothetical second term would come to a conclusion, making him the oldest major-party presidential candidate in American history.

Similar to other incumbents in US history, Trump too received more votes for his opponent. Another reason the GOP might look elsewhere in 2024 is due of this.

Ivanka Trump, Mike Pence, and Nikki Haley are the current favourites in UK betting to be the GOP nominee in 2024. The first female presidential nominee in Republican Party history would either be Haley or Ivanka Trump. Ivanka Trump would become the first president’s daughter to be nominated for such a position.

TOP 2024 US PRESIDENTIAL CONTENDERS

Democrats

No significant party has ever declined to nominate an incumbent for reelection when he was qualified for another term in US history. However, according to UK bookmakers, the Democrats will buck that trend in 2024 and nominate Vice President-elect Kamala Harris. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a representative from New York, and Pete Buttigieg, a former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, are two other front-runners at these polls.

Republicans

The former governor of South Carolina, Nikki Haley, is currently the next-most popular candidate in UK polls, with Donald Trump as the current front-runner. The field then includes Ivanka Trump and former vice president Mike Pence.

TIPS FOR 2024 PRESIDENTIAL BETTING

In presidential elections, the candidates who most strongly represent the opposing extreme of the ideological spectrum frequently perform best. Barack Obama and Donald Trump, for instance, were as dissimilar as it was possible to be.

But that often happens after a two-term president. That conventional thinking might not hold true because 2024 will be the last year of Joe Biden’s first term and he might seek for reelection as the incumbent.

As the election campaign closes, keep an eye on candidate financing and polls. That will serve as a guide for choosing which candidates to support in the polls.

ARE BETS ALLOWED IN THE US?

Traditional sportsbooks do not accept legal bets on US elections, but PredictIt does allow users to exchange shares on election and event outcomes, much like the stock market.

PredictIt features dozens of marketplaces where you can try to forecast the result of an election or other event. You purchase shares either in support of or opposition to an event happening. subsequently, you can exchange your shares with the intention of purchasing them at a discount and subsequently selling them at a premium.

“Will Donald Trump file to run for President before the end of 2022?” is one example of a PredictIt market.

When Trump filed his paperwork to run for president before the end of 2022, the closing price was “Yes” at 38 cents on June 25. It was worth 41 cents on June 27 and 37 cents on July 1.

You get to choose whether to sell now or wait until the market closes.